Aurora, Nebraska 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

481
FXUS63 KGID 250538
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1238 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Shower and thunderstorm activity is expected to increase
  across north central Kansas (50-60%) late this afternoon and
  evening, with lower probabilities (20-40%) across south
  central Nebraska. Any severe weather should be primarily
  limited to our Kansas counties.

- Mostly dry and seasonably cool temperatures return to the
  local area to end the week, with addition chances (20-50%) for
  showers and thunderstorms anticipated over the upcoming
  weekend. Despite the multiple chances for precip over the
  upcoming weekend, overall QPF amounts are expected to
  generally be less than 0.10".

- Temperatures will spike in to the 80s on Monday ahead of a
  cold front from the north and an upper level low ejecting from
  the Rockies. Severe weather could be possible with this next
  system, although the focus has trended further east the past
  couple of days.

- Additional shower and thunderstorm chances return next
  Wednesday/Thursday as the occasionally unsettled weather
  pattern continues across the plains.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 122 PM CDT Thu Apr 24 2025

Widespread shower activity with a few isolated lighting strikes
moved across the forecast area today. As this disturbance
continues to push further east, a couple of thunderstorms have
been able to develop across Fillmore county the past hour as it
is tracking into a more favorable environment, but this
activity should rapidly exit the area by 4 PM with the focus
then shifting to our Kansas counties.

For the late afternoon and evening hours...expect the potential
for additional shower and thunderstorm development as another
weak upper level disturbance moves across the area. While
instability is not overly impressive, could see a few strong to
marginally severe storms early in the period across north
central Kansas where better instability resides. If realized,
hail to the size of quarters and 60 mph wind gusts will be the
primary concerns.

Late this evening, could see some additional shower and
thunderstorm development extend across south central Nebraska,
although this activity should be non-severe and diminish by
daybreak Friday. As the showers and thunderstorms diminish,
could also see a bit of fog development, especially considering
the moist ground and light northeasterly winds, but fog is not
expected to be widespread.

For the daytime hours Friday, skies will likely remain mostly
cloudy through the daytime hours with seasonably cool
temperatures and mostly dry conditions anticipated. Additional
weak disturbances in southwesterly flow aloft will bring
additional chances for showers and thunderstorms over the
upcoming weekend. Given the more disorganized look of this
activity, anticipate more clouds than rainfall over the upcoming
weekend when all is said and done.

Temperatures will then spike into the 80s next Monday ahead of
a cold front expected to cross the area Monday night. Just ahead
of this cold front, and upper level low is expected to eject
out of the Rockies and cross the plains, potentially acting as a
trigger for shower and thunderstorm development Monday
afternoon and evening. While severe storms will be possible with
this set-up, the threat has trended further east, and
confidence in severe storms locally has decreased.

Dry weather should then return for Tuesday before additional
small chances for precip return toward the middle of next week.
Overall, an unsettled weather pattern continues with nearly
daily chances for at least some precip across the region.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1232 AM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Rain showers will continue across the area through much of the
night. An isolated thunderstorm is possible. Low ceilings will
continue through at least 18z with some improvement around 15z.
Ceilings may improve to either high end MVFR or VFR around 21z
to 00z but are expected to lower again by 06z Saturday. Winds
will transition from the north northeast to the east by 06z
Saturday.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Rossi
AVIATION...Schuldt